|Perak crisis: What will happen in next 48 hours?|
|K Kabilan | Mar 2, 09 2:39pm|
|The constitutional crisis in Perak looks set to deepen tomorrow with the 10am emergency sitting of the state assembly called by speaker V Sivakumar.The sitting is convened with the twin purpose of showing support for Pakatan Rakyat’s ousted Menteri Besar Mohamad Nizar Jamaluddin as well as to seek the dissolution of the state assembly.
Sivakumar has not invited the BN menteri besar, Zambry Abdul Kadir, and his six exco members for the crucial meeting. Invitations were also not sent to the three former Pakatan representatives, who are now BN-friendly independents.
The two motions to be debated – and expected to be passed by the 28 Pakatan representatives – will mean the new BN state government will come to a quick end, in less than a month since its inception.
Given such a situation, there are a few possibilities that could take place in the next 24 to 48 hours – either that Pakatan is able to dissolve the assembly to pave way for fresh elections or the BN stopping the emergency meeting from proceeding altogether.
As it stands now, the most likely scenario would be for Sivakumar to conduct his meeting as planned and get the motions passed and then submit them to the Sultan of Perak for further action.
It is still uncertain though if the sultan will accede to the wishes of the Pakatan representatives and agree to dissolve the state assembly. The sultan has made his views clear on this matter by appointing Zambry as the new menteri besar on Feb 6.
Perak BN, or the new menteri besar, can go to court and get an injunction against the emergency meeting. This is very likely to happen later today.
However, it has been a convention for our courts not to interfere in the functioning of the state assemblies.
“The courts tend to uphold the principles of separations of power in that they are on par with the legislative and executive,” noted constitutional expert Prof Aziz Bari.
Still, in the current political climate, it would be unwise to discount the possibility of judicial activism.
If such an injunction is granted, it would automatically mean that the emergency sitting of the state assembly tomorrow cannot proceed.
The Pakatan government or the speaker can try to revoke the injunction by appealing against it in court, triggering a long drawn out legal process.
It must be noted the Kuala Lumpur High Court is also set to hear tomorrow an application by Nizar on the legality of Zambry’s appointment as the menteri besar.
Another legal aspect which Zambry can contemplate is to seek a court order to allow him, his exco members as well as the three BN-friendly independents to attend the meeting tomorrow.
In such a situation, the two motions can be defeated by BN, with the help of the three defectors.
The downside to this is that the speaker can appeal for a court ruling stating that he is the final authority on matters of state assembly.
Apart from his suspension of Zambry and the six exco members, the speaker can also point out that the status of the three independent representatives were questionable as he has received their resignation letters and had declared their seats as vacant.
This situation will also cause a legal imbroglio with no swift solution in sight.
The Perak BN, which is the ruling party as per the sultan’s appointment, can order all civil servants and legislative assembly staff not to cooperate with Sivakumar and the Pakatan faction.
Doors to the assembly can then be kept shut and assembly officers may refuse to perform their duties. [Update – at 4pm, a state government circular was issued stating that the complex where the state assembly is located will be closed tomorrow].
If such a scenario arises, the speaker has the powers to declare another place as the venue for the emergency sitting and conduct the meeting there.
Even Nizar’s new official residence can be converted to function as a state assembly.
The best the BN can then do to stop the meeting – and this is the least likely thing to happen – is to seek the dissolution of the state assembly, paving way for a snap state election.
The BN was against this option at the outset of the crisis, perhaps fearing that it would not be able to win.
Federal measures to ponder
However it must be said that both these measures would be highly unpopular, especially with BN facing three by-elections next month, with one in Perak.
Incoming Prime Minister Najib Abdul Razak, who is also the BN and Perak Umno chief, will have to be down to his last chips if he agrees to these two measures.
And what are they?
These two scenarios are not totally ludicrous and has been mentioned by the Pakatan leaders as well, the most recent being PAS vice-president Husam Musa.
The next 48 hours look set to be an important phase in the Perak political landscape.
By the end of tomorrow, the constitutional crisis roiling the state could either be clearer or the events can take another nasty turn for the worse.
DUN Perak ditutup, elak sidang tergempar
Mar 2, 09 12:27pm
kemaskini 6.49pm Dalam tindakan mengejut – dipercayai untuk menggagalkan sidang tergempar Dewan Undangan Negeri (DUN) yang dirancang esok – kompleks pentadbiran negeri yang menempatkan dewan itu akan ditutup esok.
Menurut kenyataan yang dikeluarkan oleh bahagian khidmat pengurusan, pintu utama Bangunan Perak Darul Ridzuan di Jalan Bukit Gantang Wahab akan ditutup.
Kakitangan yang menetapkan temujanji di bangunan tersebut esok diarah membatalkannya.
Notis tanpa tandatangan itu dari pejabat Setiausaha Kerajaan (SUK) menggunakan logo rasmi kerajaan negeri.
Manakala ketua polis negeri memberi amaran kepada orang ramai agar tidak berkumpul di kawasan bangunan tersebut.
Menurut Bernama, Datuk Zulkefli Abdullah berkata pentadbiran bangunan itu telah memaklumkan kepada polis yang sidang DUN tidak akan berlangung esok dan bangunan tersebut hanya membenarkan pekerja- pekerja pejabat SUK dan orang-orang yang mendapat kelulusan sahaja.
“Mengikut kenyataan Setiausaha Dewan Negeri yang diterima hari ini, sidang tergempar dewan negeri yang diadakan esok tidak sah kerana tidak mendapat perkenan Sultan Perak,” beliau dipetik berkata.
Malaysiakini difahamkan beberapa trak polis pencegah rusuhan telah ditempatkan berdekatan bangunan tersebut dan sekatan polis diadakan di jalan menuju kompleks pentadbiran tersebut.
Sementara itu, sebagai reaksi segera terhadap keputusan menutup pintu utama Bangunan Perak Darul Ridzuan, bekas exco kanan Perak, Datuk Ngeh Koo Ham berkata semua 28 wakil rakyat Pakatan Rakyat termasuk Speaker akan ke bangunan tersebut esok.
Terdahulu, seorang exco kerajaan BN Perak ingin Speaker DUN V Sivakumar dihadapkan kepada Jawatankuasa Hak dan Kebebasan dewan itu berhubung dakwaan salah laku.
Notis yang mengandungi laporan salah guna kuasa oleh Speaker, menghina DUN serta tidak taat setia kepada titah Sultan Perak itu diserahkan kepada setiausaha Speaker, A Basu di pejabatnya di Bangunan Perak Darul Ridzuan pada 11 pagi.
Mohd Zahir Abdul Khalid berkata notis itu juga berkaitan tindakan Speaker menggantung dan melarang Menteri Besar Perak Datuk Dr Zambry Abdul Kadir dan enam exco kerajaan negeri menghadiri persidangan DUN, lapor Bernama.
Tindakan ini dipercayai sebagai reaksi balas terhadap usaha Speaker memanggil sidang tergempar DUN jam 10 pagi esok bagi membahaskan usul-usul undi percaya terhadap Datuk Seri Mohamad Nizar Jamamaluddin, yang ditumbangkan oleh BN, dan membubarkan dewan.
Sementara itu, menteri besar dan barisan exconya menfailkan permohonan di mahkamah bagi membatalkan keputusan Speaker menggantung mereka daripada menghadiri sidang DUN.
Permohonan ini akan didengar di Mahkamah Tinggi Ipoh jam 9 pagi esok.
Ketiga-tiga wakil rakyat bebas yang menyokong kerajaan BN negeri – Mohd Osman Jailu (Changkat Jering), Jamaluddin Mohd Radzi (Behrang) dan Hee Yit Foong (Jelapang) – pula menfailkan permohonan untuk membatalkan surat peletakan jawatan sebagai anggota DUN.